The COVID-19 monitoring report produced by QED and Ecklers contains comprehensive statistics on the ongoing pandemic, covering reported infection, mortality and testing rates, excess mortality and age specific profiles of the pandemic. Click here for the report incorporates publicly available data from four different sources:

  • The infection, mortality and recovery statistics are compiled on a daily basis by the John Hopkins University Centre for Systems Science and Engineering.
  • The data on testing comes from the Our World in Data project.
  • For age specific infection and mortality rates, we use the COVerAGE-DB database, which is maintained by a group of demographers.
  • Finally, for weekly mortality data that are used to calculate excess mortality, we use the short-term monitoring data provided by the Human Mortality Database.

We believe the data to be reliable and credible in terms of capturing the reported experience in each country, but the conclusions that can be drawn are dependent on the quality each country’s reporting standards. For example, a recent report from the Medical Research Council of South Africa suggests that a significant number of deaths due to COVID-19 are going unreported. This is the case despite the quite high level of completeness of reporting of vital statistics in South Africa, compared to other countries in Africa. Therefore, if you are interested in a specific region or country covered in the report, please contact QED and we can look to extract relevant data and results as needed or provide advice on interpreting the data.

As of the date of the report (3 July 2020), almost 11 million infections and 525 000 deaths had been reported. While relatively small figures in terms of the global population, nonetheless, the impact on mortality rates in the worst affected countries is shown in Section 24 of the report to be quite severe. From a global perspective, the pandemic seems currently to be in better control in most of the European countries where the impact was felt initially. However, many South American and other developing countries, including South Africa, are experiencing elevated rates of infections and mortality currently and infection rates appear to be rising again in the United States, in what some commentators are calling a “second wave”.

 Focussing in on Africa, we can see that South Africa has the highest number of infections on the continent, as of 3 July 2020. 

Comparing per capita COVID-19 mortality rates for the last 20 days shows that South Africa now has some of the highest reported rates on the continent as well. In interpreting this graph, the issue of underreporting should be kept in mind.

For more information on the experience of COVID-19 in Africa, please refer to Section 14 of the report.

We intend to keep the COVID-19 monitoring report up to date and include other relevant sources of data as these become available. If you have suggestions for the addition of a new data source, or comments on the report, please reach out to QED to discuss.

Categories: Insights